Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Traders currently price "600B+" at 96% for "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)". Full distribution: 600B+ 96%, No IPO by December 31, 2027 3%, 400–600B 1%, 300–400B 0%. The market has traded $421K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2027. Anthropic’s rapid ascent to a $965 billion post-money valuation after its $65 billion Series H round in May 2026, paired with a confidential S-1 filing in June and an expected fall 2026 IPO window, underpins the overwhelming 95.8% market-implied odds for a closing market cap above $600 billion. Traders are pricing in continued revenue momentum, with run-rate figures exceeding $47 billion and third-party trackers near $70 billion ARR, alongside profitability projections and leadership in large language model capabilities through Claude. Competitive positioning against OpenAI and analyst speculation of a potential trillion-dollar or higher debut further reinforce the consensus. While delays from SEC review, adverse market conditions, or slower adoption could compress the outcome, current verified developments leave little room for lower brackets.

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