TECH / AILIVE

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T18%▼ 1.0pt 24h

// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES

$1.75–$2.0T: 18%; −1.0
$1.5–$1.75T: 17%; −3.3
$2.0–$2.25T: 17%; +2.5
$2.25–$2.5T: 14%; −1.0
$1.25–$1.5T: 12%; −3.5
$2.75–$3.0T: 8%; +5.8
$2.5–$2.75T: 8%; −0.7
<$1.25T: 6%; —
$3.0T+: 5%; −1.9
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 1%; —

VOLUME

$297K

24H VOLUME

$20K

LIQUIDITY

$146K

RESOLVES

Dec 31, 2027

Traders currently price "$1.75–$2.0T" at 18% for "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 1.0 points. Full distribution: $1.75–$2.0T 18%, $1.5–$1.75T 17%, $2.0–$2.25T 17%, $2.25–$2.5T 14%. The market has traded $297K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2027. Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, supported by $47 billion in May run-rate revenue, anchors trader expectations for an autumn 2026 IPO targeting at least $2 trillion. Backers project annualized revenue reaching $100–120 billion by year-end, yet secondary trading implies only modest uplift to $1.05–1.15 trillion, reflecting caution after SpaceX’s post-listing repricing. With implied probabilities clustered tightly across the $1.5–2.25 trillion buckets, sentiment hinges on execution of the confidential S-1 filing, hyperscaler commitments, and whether public multiples compress toward 10x forward revenue amid broader AI capital-spending scrutiny.

TRADE IN TERMINAL MORE MARKETS VIEW ON POLYMARKET

// MORE TECH / AI MARKETS

AI bubble burst by...?14%OpenAI IPO by...?20%OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap83%Anthropic IPO by __?81%

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.