Clacton by-election: 2nd place
- Count Binface
- 100%
- +1.8
- Person J
- 50%
- —
- Person K
- 50%
- —
- Person L
- 50%
- —
- Person M
- 50%
- —
- Person N
- 50%
- —
- Person O
- 50%
- —
- Person P
- 50%
- —
- Person Q
- 50%
- —
- Person R
- 50%
- —
- Person S
- 50%
- —
- Person T
- 50%
- —
- Person U
- 50%
- —
- Person V
- 50%
- —
- Person W
- 50%
- —
- Person X
- 50%
- —
- Person Y
- 50%
- —
- Person Z
- 50%
- —
- Person AA
- 50%
- —
- Person AB
- 50%
- —
- Person AC
- 50%
- —
- Person AD
- 50%
- —
- Person AE
- 50%
- —
- Person AF
- 50%
- —
- Person AG
- 50%
- —
- Person AH
- 50%
- —
- Person AI
- 50%
- —
- Person AJ
- 50%
- —
- Person AK
- 50%
- —
- Person AL
- 50%
- —
- Person AM
- 50%
- —
- Person AN
- 50%
- —
- Person AO
- 50%
- —
- Person AP
- 50%
- —
- Person AQ
- 50%
- —
- Person AR
- 50%
- —
- Other
- 50%
- —
- Laurence Fox
- 0%
- —
- Nigel Farage
- 0%
- −0.9
- Giles Watling
- 0%
- —
- Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
- 0%
- —
- Matthew Bensilum
- 0%
- —
- Natasha Osben
- 0%
- —
- Tony Mack
- 0%
- —
- Andrew Pemberton
- 0%
- —
- Piers Corbyn
- 0%
- —
- Adham Alkhatip
- 0%
- —
- Rees Cowne
- 0%
- —
- Kai Stephens
- 0%
- —
- Luke Worley
- 0%
- —
- John Stevens
- 0%
- −0.7
- William Clouston
- 0%
- —
- Pamela Walford
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "Count Binface" at 100% for "Clacton by-election: 2nd place". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.8 points. Full distribution: Count Binface 100%, Person J 50%, Person K 50%, Person L 50%. The market has traded $738K in total volume and resolves Aug 13, 2026. Count Binface emerged as the dominant contender for second place in the Clacton by-election after major parties including Labour, the Conservatives, and the Liberal Democrats opted not to field candidates, leaving a field dominated by fringe and novelty entrants. Media coverage and public discussion centered on Binface as the primary alternative to Nigel Farage, who resigned his seat to trigger the contest amid financial scrutiny, fostering a consensus among traders that the satirical candidate would outpace dozens of lesser-known independents and minor-party figures. This positioning reflects the absence of organized opposition and the concentration of attention on a single high-profile novelty option. Outcomes could shift only if vote fragmentation among other listed candidates proves substantially greater than anticipated or if turnout patterns favor a different fringe entry.
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