Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Traders currently price "Alexander Vindman" at 92% for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner". Full distribution: Alexander Vindman 92%, Angie Nixon 8%, Jared Moskowitz 0%, Josh Weil 0%. The market has traded $189K in total volume and resolves Aug 18, 2026. Alexander Vindman holds a commanding lead in the Florida Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate special election due to his national profile as a retired Army lieutenant colonel and former National Security Council official, combined with early polling margins of 15 points or more over state Representative Angie Nixon. His campaign has emphasized foreign policy expertise, insurance affordability, and federal spending priorities, bolstered by endorsements such as from the Miami Herald and broad fundraising support. Most other declared candidates, including Joshua Weil and Alan Grayson, have withdrawn or failed to qualify, narrowing the field ahead of the August 18 vote. While the primary timeline leaves limited room for late shifts in voter turnout or new endorsements, Nixon could narrow the gap through targeted outreach in key Democratic strongholds if mobilization efforts intensify in the final days.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.