Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Traders currently price "December 31" at 3% for "Lai Ching-te impeached by...?". The market has traded $1.4M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Opposition parties in Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan, led by the Kuomintang and Taiwan People’s Party, initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over disputes involving constitutional procedures and a premier’s refusal to countersign legislation. The opposition secured enough support to advance the motion through hearings but fell short of the two-thirds majority required for passage in the May 19, 2026, roll-call vote. With the motion defeated, no further legislative action on impeachment is scheduled, and structural requirements for presidential removal remain unmet. Ongoing executive-legislative tensions and polarization continue to shape the environment, though no additional votes or constitutional court referrals tied to this effort are currently pending.

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