Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
- August 31
- 26%
- −18.8
- August 21
- 7%
- −4.0
- August 14
- 1%
- −1.8
- June 5
- 0%
- −0.5
- June 12
- 0%
- —
- June 19
- 0%
- −0.8
- June 26
- 0%
- −0.9
- June 30
- 0%
- −2.4
- July 31
- 0%
- −1.4
- July 3
- 0%
- —
- July 10
- 0%
- −0.5
- July 17
- 0%
- −4.8
- July 24
- 0%
- −1.1
- July 27
- 0%
- —
- July 28
- 0%
- −1.1
- July 29
- 0%
- −1.1
- July 30
- 0%
- −1.5
- August 7
- 0%
- —
Traders currently price "August 31" at 26% for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved down 18.8 points. Full distribution: August 31 26%, August 21 7%, August 14 1%, June 5 0%. The market has traded $1.0M in total volume and resolves Jul 31, 2026. Google's next flagship Gemini Pro model faces ongoing delays, with Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 for a June rollout—still unreleased as of mid-August amid internal performance shortfalls and extended partner testing. The current leading model remains Gemini 3.1 Pro from February, while lighter 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash variants shipped recently to address everyday use cases. Traders are watching competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus Google's confirmation that Gemini 4 training has begun, which could shift focus or timelines. Key catalysts ahead include any official 3.5 Pro announcement, developer conference updates, or earnings commentary on DeepMind progress, all of which influence implied probabilities around release windows.
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