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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

No81%
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
No
81%
Yes
20%
VOLUME
$296K
24H VOLUME
$50
LIQUIDITY
$2K
RESOLVES
Dec 31, 2026

Traders currently price "No" at 81% for "OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?". The market has traded $296K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 initially raised hopes for a late-2026 debut, yet recent reporting shows executives favoring a 2027 timeline to reach the targeted $1 trillion valuation rather than list sooner at a lower price. With the company’s most recent private round at roughly $852 billion and ongoing monthly revenue growth still short of the scale needed to support a trillion-dollar public market cap, traders see limited runway before year-end 2026. Market volatility observed in other large tech listings and the absence of pre-IPO investor meetings have further tempered expectations. Key catalysts ahead include any acceleration in enterprise revenue from its large language models or shifts in IPO market conditions that could reopen a 2026 window.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.