Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Traders currently price "Texas" at 98% for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?". Full distribution: Texas 98%, Florida 98%, California 98%, North Carolina 96%. The market has traded $395K in total volume and resolves Nov 3, 2026. Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms, with ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—enacting revised maps since summer 2025. These changes stem primarily from state legislative sessions, ballot measures, and responses to U.S. Supreme Court rulings such as Louisiana v. Callais, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and prompted several Southern states to redraw lines. Ongoing litigation, including challenges over partisan or racial gerrymandering, continues to shape implementation in multiple jurisdictions, while some attempted revisions elsewhere have been rejected by courts or voters. Primary election deadlines and special sessions in the coming months remain key variables that could determine final map usage.

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