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TECH / AILIVE

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.1T100% 3.6pt 24h
// MARKET-IMPLIED PROBABILITIES
↑$1.1T
100%
↑$1.0T
100%
↑$1.25T
96%
↑$1.5T
84%
↑$1.75T
68%
↑$2.0T
58%
↑$2.5T
40%
↑$3.0T
26%
↑$4.0T
8%
↑$5.0T
7%
↓$800B
6%
↓$700B
6%
↓$600B
3%
VOLUME
$3.2M
24H VOLUME
$237K
LIQUIDITY
$264K
RESOLVES
Jan 1, 2027

Traders currently price "↑$1.1T" at 100% for "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 3.6 points. Full distribution: ↑$1.1T 100%, ↑$1.0T 100%, ↑$1.25T 96%, ↑$1.5T 84%. The market has traded $3.2M in total volume and resolves Jan 1, 2027. Anthropic's valuation trajectory reflects rapid AI sector momentum, with its May 2026 Series H round raising $65 billion at a $965 billion post-money valuation amid $47 billion annualized run-rate revenue—up sharply from $9 billion at the start of 2026 and surpassing OpenAI's prior mark. Secondary markets currently imply $1.05–1.15 trillion, driven by enterprise adoption of Claude and hyperscaler commitments. Trader sentiment for hitting elevated thresholds by year-end hinges on the anticipated autumn IPO, which analysts project could price at or above the private round, alongside ongoing revenue scaling and macroeconomic risk appetite. Key catalysts include S-1 filing details and any pre-IPO secondary trading updates.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.