Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Traders currently price "No" at 95% for "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?". Over the past 24 hours that probability moved up 1.0 points. The market has traded $2.9M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. Zelenskyy remains Ukraine’s incumbent president under constitutional provisions allowing continuity during martial law, which parliament has extended repeatedly and most recently until October 31, 2026, barring presidential elections. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and absence of a ceasefire or security guarantees for voting have kept polls postponed beyond the original 2024 schedule, with Zelenskyy stating elections would require such conditions or legislative changes he has discussed only conditionally. As of mid-2026, he continues official duties including U.S. diplomatic engagements and sanctions advocacy, while any potential vote timeline points to late 2026 or later. These structural and wartime constraints underpin trader consensus that removal by year-end is improbable absent rapid, unforeseen shifts in the conflict.

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