Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Traders currently price "December 31, 2026" at 3% for "Jerome Powell federally charged by...?". The market has traded $318K in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. The Department of Justice's April 2026 decision to drop its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell without charges underpins the market-implied odds near 3% for an indictment by year-end. Prosecutors had examined Powell's congressional testimony on Federal Reserve headquarters renovations and related spending, but a federal judge quashed subpoenas in March citing insufficient evidence of wrongdoing. Powell completed his term as chair in May 2026 and transitioned to a Board governor role through 2028, reducing his direct exposure to policy-related scrutiny. With no active proceedings and strong institutional pushback defending central bank independence, trader consensus reflects low perceived likelihood of renewed federal action absent unexpected political or legal developments.

Odds sourced live from Polymarket, refreshed through the day. Prediction-market participation carries risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Informational only — not investment advice.