What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
- ↓ 3.5%
- 100%
- —
- ↑ 4.25%
- 19%
- −3.9
- ↓ 3.25%
- 10%
- —
- ↓ 2.25%
- 4%
- —
- ↓ 2.5%
- 4%
- —
- ↓ 1.0%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 2.0%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 1.5%
- 3%
- —
- ↑ 4.75%
- 3%
- −0.7
- ↓ 0.75%
- 3%
- —
- ↑ 5.0%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 0.25%
- 3%
- —
- ↑ 5.5%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 3.0%
- 3%
- —
- ↑ 5.25%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 0%
- 3%
- —
- ↓ 2.75%
- 3%
- —
- ↑ 4.5%
- 3%
- −0.6
- ↓ 1.75%
- 2%
- —
- ↓ 0.5%
- 2%
- —
- ↓ 1.25%
- 2%
- —
Traders currently price "↓ 3.5%" at 100% for "What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?". Full distribution: ↓ 3.5% 100%, ↑ 4.25% 19%, ↓ 3.25% 10%, ↓ 2.25% 4%. The market has traded $1.8M in total volume and resolves Dec 31, 2026. The Federal Open Market Committee has held the federal funds rate target range steady at 3.50–3.75% through its July 2026 meeting, reflecting solid economic expansion, stable labor market conditions, and inflation remaining elevated at 3.4% year-over-year. Market-implied odds currently price a gradual path toward 3.8% by year-end, influenced by three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike and ongoing supply shocks in energy and other sectors. With the September 16, 2026, FOMC meeting as the next key decision point, traders are closely monitoring incoming CPI, employment, and productivity data releases that could shift expectations for further tightening or a prolonged pause ahead of 2027.
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