Politics — 846 live markets
Every live politics market on Polymarket, sorted by lifetime volume. Odds are the leading outcome's implied probability; colour is the 24h move.
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028▲ 2.8pt23%$1.3B
- Republican Presidential Nominee 202849%$687.4M
- Presidential Election Winner 202823%$683.7M
- Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▼ 0.2pt95%$276.1M
- Next French Presidential Election▼ 0.4pt31%$119.0M
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5%$64.6M
- California Governor Election Winner93%$40.7M
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?▲ 0.1pt96%$35.3M
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election▲ 1.0pt67%$13.3M
- Which party will win the House in 2026?88%$9.4M
- María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?▼ 1.5pt25%$6.4M
- Clacton by-election Winner▲ 0.8pt100%$5.7M
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place▼ 1.5pt82%$4.6M
- Epstein client list released by...?▼ 0.5pt6%$4.4M
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?53%$3.8M
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?▼ 5.0pt64%$3.6M
- Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner▼ 0.1pt98%$3.6M
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?38%$3.4M
- Next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 2.6pt48%$3.3M
- Berlin State Election Winner46%$3.2M
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?▼ 0.1pt3%$3.1M
- Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?▲ 74.5pt93%$3.0M
- Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?26%$2.8M
- Will Tim Walz resign by...?▼ 1.0pt3%$2.6M
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?▲ 0.2pt98%$2.6M
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?59%$2.1M
- Kash Patel out by...?▲ 2.0pt28%$1.7M
- South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner▲ 6.1pt83%$1.6M
- Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %▲ 63.4pt100%$1.6M
- Trump out as President by August 31?100%$1.5M
- Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?▲ 80.0pt100%$1.4M
- Maine Senate Election Winner70%$1.1M
- Insurrection Act invoked by...?18%$1.1M
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?77%$1.1M
- French election called by...?10%$1.1M
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?▼ 1.0pt13%$1.1M
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?▲ 0.3pt98%$1.0M
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ▼ 3.0pt38%$974K
- Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner▼ 0.1pt98%$882K
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?▲ 10.2pt86%$843K
- Weed rescheduled by...?▼ 2.7pt25%$796K
- Texas Senate Election Winner52%$775K
- Quebec General Election Winner▲ 1.0pt75%$758K
- Clacton by-election: 2nd place▲ 2.7pt100%$749K
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?94%$745K
- How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?▼ 2.0pt28%$688K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?▲ 5.0pt25%$668K
- South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner▲ 0.3pt100%$623K
- Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?11%$561K
- Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %▲ 62.4pt100%$540K
- SAVE Act becomes law by...?14%$537K
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place61%$530K
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?▲ 0.1pt96%$527K
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner▼ 4.0pt51%$523K
- Tim Walz charged by...?4%$511K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?83%$459K
- Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?▲ 0.2pt95%$458K
- Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner▲ 1.4pt75%$448K
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner85%$448K
- Who will Trump pardon before 2027?▼ 2.0pt44%$419K
- ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?▼ 2.5pt88%$404K
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?▲ 0.1pt98%$395K
- Alaska Senate Election Winner51%$393K
- Jimmy Lai released by...?▲ 0.4pt2%$379K
- Michigan Senate Election Winner▼ 2.0pt58%$378K
- Who will be arrested before 2027?29%$361K
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?▼ 10.5pt11%$354K
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner▲ 0.1pt65%$349K
- Lecornu out as French PM by...?28%$341K
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?▲ 0.1pt96%$333K
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?▼ 2.5pt88%$332K
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ▲ 0.3pt94%$328K
- Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?▲ 25.0pt100%$320K
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory▲ 1.5pt39%$316K
- Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner▲ 0.2pt94%$295K
- Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won▲ 0.5pt77%$294K
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?▲ 0.4pt80%$287K
- Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?24%$284K
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?▲ 0.3pt95%$284K
- São Paulo Governor Election Winner94%$279K
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?60%$278K
- Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory▲ 88.1pt100%$256K
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?72%$254K
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?▲ 0.1pt93%$253K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?▲ 32.0pt55%$249K
- Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?▼ 0.4pt98%$246K
- Who will Trump endorse?▲ 70.2pt100%$243K
- Next Premier of Quebec▲ 0.5pt72%$243K
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?9%$240K
- JD Vance out as VP by...?6%$239K
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?▲ 1.0pt82%$237K
- Andrew Tate released from custody by...?▲ 2.5pt17%$227K
- FL-06 Republican Primary Winner▲ 0.2pt97%$224K
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?98%$221K
- Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)▲ 6.0pt98%$212K
- Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory100%$212K
- Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory▼ 0.7pt99%$211K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?▲ 1.0pt20%$206K
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?▼ 0.2pt100%$199K
- Michigan Governor Election Winner84%$197K
TOP 100 OF 846 BY VOLUME · THE GALAXY SHOWS THEM ALL
AS OF Aug 14, 06:31 UTC · ODDS FROM POLYMARKET · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE