Economy — 250 live markets
Every live economy market on Polymarket, sorted by lifetime volume. Odds are the leading outcome's implied probability; colour is the 24h move.
- Brazil Presidential Election64%$122.8M
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?86%$48.0M
- Fed Decision in September?▲ 6.0pt73%$32.0M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?▼ 0.6pt3%$19.5M
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?▲ 0.1pt96%$12.0M
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?▲ 0.5pt17%$10.3M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?55%$8.0M
- Fed rate hike in 2026?▼ 3.0pt52%$7.4M
- IPOs before 2027?100%$7.0M
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?▼ 2.8pt40%$6.8M
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?▲ 27.5pt100%$6.0M
- Largest Company end of December 2026?▲ 1.0pt73%$5.9M
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?▼ 16.5pt71%$5.3M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?▲ 1.0pt86%$3.2M
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?▲ 3.7pt100%$3.2M
- Fed rate cut by...?15%$3.1M
- OpenAI IPO by...?17%$2.7M
- Crude Oil all time high by...?12%$2.5M
- Fed rate hike by...?▼ 3.0pt43%$2.2M
- Macron out by...?5%$2.1M
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?▼ 2.0pt50%$2.1M
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap▼ 0.5pt83%$2.0M
- Largest Company end of August?▲ 1.2pt97%$1.9M
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?▲ 0.5pt100%$1.8M
- US recession by end of 2026?▲ 1.0pt93%$1.7M
- Kraken IPO by ___ ?▼ 0.5pt12%$1.6M
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?87%$1.5M
- Anthropic IPO by __?▲ 1.5pt82%$1.5M
- How high will inflation get in 2026?▲ 1.5pt100%$1.4M
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?50%$1.3M
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?97%$1.0M
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?▼ 6.0pt81%$990K
- US charges Hormuz fees by...?▼ 1.0pt7%$960K
- Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 202669%$883K
- China Annual GDP Growth 202689%$875K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)▲ 4.5pt72%$738K
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?▲ 95.5pt100%$728K
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?▲ 74.5pt100%$710K
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)▲ 8.0pt56%$693K
- Fed Decision in October?▲ 4.0pt72%$601K
- OKX IPO in 2026?92%$589K
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?▲ 1.2pt100%$505K
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?▲ 0.1pt10%$481K
- Consensys IPO by ___ ?9%$441K
- Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?21%$434K
- US x Cuba economic deal by...?▲ 0.5pt26%$432K
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?▲ 15.5pt100%$432K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)▲ 0.3pt96%$421K
- SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?▲ 2.9pt100%$370K
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?▼ 1.0pt24%$364K
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?▲ 0.2pt95%$344K
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?▼ 1.0pt11%$330K
- Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?▼ 0.5pt3%$319K
- Jerome Powell federally charged by...?▲ 0.1pt3%$318K
- 2nd Largest Company end of August?▲ 11.5pt89%$312K
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?81%$296K
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?▲ 18.0pt100%$295K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)▲ 14.5pt52%$290K
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?▲ 11.2pt100%$284K
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?▲ 0.5pt86%$284K
- Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?55%$280K
- Bank of Japan Decision in September?▲ 13.5pt81%$280K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap▲ 1.7pt20%$277K
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?89%$270K
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?▲ 11.0pt82%$264K
- Houthis successfully target shipping on...?▲ 82.5pt100%$225K
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?▲ 0.3pt100%$225K
- Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?▼ 1.5pt8%$221K
- ECB Interest Rates: September 202687%$220K
- US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?▼ 3.5pt19%$213K
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?▲ 3.2pt100%$182K
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?▲ 25.0pt83%$175K
- Which companies will the US take a stake in?▲ 0.3pt87%$169K
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?▲ 2.5pt47%$161K
- Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair94%$160K
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?92%$160K
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap17%$150K
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?▼ 0.5pt24%$147K
- Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap▲ 1.5pt65%$147K
- Bank of England decision in September?▼ 1.5pt90%$147K
- Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?▼ 1.0pt8%$146K
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in August 2026?▲ 26.5pt100%$141K
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?▲ 1.0pt94%$137K
- Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?▼ 0.5pt15%$132K
- Fed Decision in December?▲ 10.0pt69%$130K
- Largest Company end of September?▲ 1.0pt90%$124K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?93%$118K
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?96%$111K
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?▼ 1.5pt74%$109K
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 202660%$105K
- Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?93%$100K
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?86%$100K
- Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?▲ 0.2pt96%$99K
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?▼ 10.5pt17%$99K
- Brazil Annual Inflation 2026▲ 12.3pt56%$94K
- Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?▼ 1.5pt4%$91K
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?▲ 42.4pt100%$89K
- Strava IPO Closing Market Cap35%$89K
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?▼ 1.5pt84%$87K
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap33%$84K
TOP 100 OF 250 BY VOLUME · THE GALAXY SHOWS THEM ALL
AS OF Aug 14, 04:30 UTC · ODDS FROM POLYMARKET · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE